Expect Internet brownouts by 2010
Just like any resources on earth, the Internet has its own limitations as well. With so many high-bandwidth applications such as VoIP, video streaming, file sharing, and multimedia downloads, the growing demand is projected to outpace the network capacity within the next 3 to 5 years.
According to the study of Nemertes Research, this will trigger Internet brownouts – interruption or slow down of many online applications like e-commerce stores, video-sharing, and downloads. To make matters worse, it can also hold back the pace of innovation.
In the U.S. alone, about $42 billion to $55 billion is required to bridge the gap between the demand and capacity. This is on top of the $72 billion service providers are planning to invest.
“We need to take steps now to ensure continued improvement of the broadband infrastructure in North America meets the projected demand. To encourage the necessary investment to ensure a positive user experience, it is important for the right tax, commercial and policy environment to be in place,” said Bruce Mehlman, co-chair of the Internet Innovation Alliance.
As expected, there are some analysts who do not believe in this study.
“I think it’s a little premature to suggest that at 2010 we’re going to hit a crossover point and all of sudden things are going to slow down. I think that significantly underestimates the capability of the market to introduce products and services to meet this growing demand,” said Carmi Levy, the senior vice-president of strategic consulting for AR Communications Inc, in a news article.
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[...] By Leo Blanco · Posted on March 13, 2008 Once again, leading industry experts are raising anxiety that the Internet will crash due to the rapid usage growth which could outpace network capacity. The culprit is online entertainment in the form of video clips, movies, online games and social networking sites. There is even published research predicting this so-called Internet brownout will happen in 2010. [...]
By Online entertainment to stir Internet congestion | 901am on March 13, 2008 8:34 am
i heard that in 2010 there will be no more internet
there will be a new internet called cern (the grid)
will be very fast online
By cj on April 7, 2008 1:09 pm
( http://news.cnet.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html ) and various articles covered in the past few months have all been focused around how Ineternet usage and bandwidth would be 50 times more than today and the content created then would jam the internet space.
Typically utilization of bandwidth and usage is directly proportional to the no.,quality & results of QUERIES that a user inputs from the moment he logs on. These queries can be as simple as searching, or as intense as uploading. At the end of it, its all about minimizing the no. of queries.
We are trying to research the potential ways of minimizing these queries by pre-defining most searched “keywords” & “categories”.
By not entering any search query, or typing for searches you would be skipping multiple steps and help in saving energy and bandwidth.
If we all try and add to this pre-defined list of searches, we can help save far more energy, bandwidth and money.
Help us all move towards the green technology.
http://www.lazii.com
(currently in beta stage)
By Ankur Dewani on September 15, 2008 3:59 am